Estes' election keeps the all-Republican congressional delegation for Kansas intact.
And in a district where there are typically twice as many registered Republicans as Democrats, early vote was 44.5% Democratic and 43.5% Republican.
Kansas Farm Bureau president Rich Felts said rural voters decided the 4th Congressional District race, where the KFB's endorsed candidate Republican Ron Estes won. Instead, he won by four points - and we should note that Kansas, which the press is now conveniently characterizing as terminally red, twice elected far-left Democrat Kathleen Sebelius as governor last decade.
Estes, however, is set to prevail by less than 7 points, a warning sign for the House Republican majority less than 100 days into the Trump administration.
Thompson came up short in his bid to beat republican Ron Estes in a special election to replace current Central Intelligence Agency director, and former U.S. Rep Mike Pompeo in the Kansas 4th congressional district. Former Republican congressman Mike Pompeo won the seat by 31 percentage points in November. "You play every game", Pumpelly said.
The Kansas result also reflected blowback against the state's unpopular Republican governor Sam Brownback. They chose the state treasurer, Ron Estes, a Republican, over James Thompson, a Democrat and a civil rights lawyer.
Estes is the state treasurer.
"I'm absolutely unsure how it's going to go", Jeff Glendening, the state director of Americans for Prosperity, a conservative advocacy group that has ties to Wichita-based Koch Industries, told the Kansas City Star.
This latest poll is "based on telephone interviews conducted April 5-9, 2017, with a random sample of 1,019 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 USA states and the District of Columbia". The special election open primary for Price's vacant 6th District seat is next week.
Rep. Steve Stivers, R-Ohio, who leads the House Republicans' campaign arm, said Ossoff's best chance of claiming the seat is to win outright next week, "and he knows that". But Thompson won in Sedgwick County, which includes Wichita.
Republicans have represented the district since Todd Tiahrt unseated veteran Democratic Rep. Dan Glickman in 1994.
Also, the National Republican Congressional Committee spent almost $100,000 on ads in the closing days. Libertarian Chris Rockhold was also on the ballot and took 1.7 percent of the vote. Programs like this have seen huge interest following Trump's election, as Democrats seek to take advantage of national anger and thousands of new progressives volunteer to run for office. Estes did not focus on Trump in his race, and although he is expected to be a reliable vote for Republicans in the House, he opposed the GOP health-care bill that was pulled before the congressional recess. The first round of voting in that election is April 18.
Those GOP calls prompted Charlene Health, a 52-year-old homemaker and Republican in Belle Plaine, to cast a ballot for Estes.
"Republican Ron Estes needs your vote and needs it badly", Trump said in his minute-long call.
In what was supposed to be a give-away for the Republicans in the red state of Kansas, an nearly neck-and-neck race emerged in the early returns, which leaned toward Thompson. "A wonderful guy, I need his help on Healthcare & Tax Cuts (Reform)", Trump tweeted Tuesday morning. Trump and vice president Mike Pence recorded robocalls to stoke Republican turnout in the race, and senator Ted Cruz hosted a rally in Kansas Monday. Ossoff is counting on opposition to Trump to propel him to a decisive victory.
In the 4th District, Estes had 53 percent of the vote and Thompson had 45 percent.